Wednesday, March 16, 2011

A Completely Unbiased Opinion

Tomorrow the NCAA Tournament begins.  To me this is the most enjoyable sporting event of the year.  The reasons are many.  It is a 3 week event.  For the players, it is not about money.  The most unexpected outcomes are fairly common.  So how will this year's tournament end? 

Odds are the KU Jayhawks will win it all.  They have the players to win.  They are the deepest team in the tournament.  Only one team, Ohio State, is ranked higher than KU.  All signs point to a successful tournament for the Jayhawks.  This means they can win, but will they win?  Probably not.  That is the beauty of the NCAA tournament.  Very rarely does the team who should win it actually win it. The odds of KU winning it are less than 50-50.  The same can be said for the other favorites, Ohio State, Duke and Pittsburgh. 

Th Odds makers have KU with the best odds of winning - 4-1, meaning the chance of them winning it all are about 25%.  Kentucky is a 20:1 (5%) favorite, while Kansas State is at 50:1 (2%) and Missouri at 200:1 (.5%).  The 65 through 68 teams that must play into the final 64 teams are all a 5,000:1 long shot.

But the attraction of this tournament is that every team has a chance to win, and something unexpected will happen.  I love it.

2 comments:

  1. This week is actually my most favorite part of the tourney. So much fun to just sit and watch all the story lines unfold

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