October Surprise

Everyone who follows the presidential campaign have expected an October Surprise that could shift support from one candidate to the other.  Dirty tricks are often used during the latter stages by the candidate that believes they are losing.  This year, that would be Barack Obama.  The news today is not good for them.  For the first time, Ohio appears to be breaking to Romney. Both campaigns have pointed to Ohio as the state that will dictate the winner.  Rasmussen now shows Romney with a 2 point lead and continuing momentum.  And it gets worse for Obama.  Gallup and Rasmussen have shown Romney leading for more than 5 consecutive days.  That addresses the statistical test of a bonafide lead in a rolling 7 day average, versus a temporary uptick.  Plus Romney has hit and maintained 50% in many polls while Obama hasn't hit 50% in any poll.  The trend is that in just over a week Romney will become president-elect Romney.

But there is still time for a dirty trick or two.  I don't think they will come from the Obama team.  They are exhausted their arsenal.  Romney is a murderer, Romney is a felon, Romney is a dunce, Romney has Romnesia, Romney is a BS'er.  They have thrown everything at Romney without success.  Their tricks don't work because most people have zero confidence in what Obama says.  Even the most ardent democrat will admit that Obama lies constantly, they will just claim it is necessary since that Romney lies too.

My concern is what the mainstream media has up their sleeve.  Over the past month, the MSM has calmed themselves by claiming that Obama was ahead and in control   That calmness is now eroding.  Panic is setting in.  They are coming to the realization that Romney may well win.  They are apoplectic.  Newsrooms across America are nowplotting how they can boost Obama into a second term.  I am guessing they will use Sandy.

Over the next few days, you will no doubt seem plenty of stories on how Obama is taking control of the government response to Sandy. They will tell how he works without sleeping to ensure the feds help anyone in need.  They will paint Obama as compassionate and caring.  You will see how his response contrasts with the perceived Bush response to Katrina.  Due to the late date, expect the MSM to paint it on thick.  They are trying to change thousands of minds in order to preserve what they believe is righteous - an Obama win.