Monday, October 15, 2012

Debate #3

Since Romney made Obama look bad in their first debate, the tide has turned.  Remember way back, say 3 weeks ago?  The mainstream media was all but calling the election over.  Obama had won.  His lead nationally and in certain swing states was insurmountable.  The Left was giddy.  Four more years!  Barry must have been listening to MSNBC and felt he didn't need to show up to the first debate.  Romney steamrolled him with facts while Obama watch his podium and took the beating. Now the skewed polls are saying the race is close.  Romney is still the underdog, but "the race has tightened".

I call BS.

The democratic oversampling of the "tightened" polls continues.  If they say the race is neck and neck, the truth is Romney is ahead - handily.  Second proof point.  Do you hear anyone saying that Romney MUST win Tuesday's debate?  Nope.  In fact, we hear the opposite.  MSNBC's Chuck Todd, citing private polling information acknowledges that structural changes in the electorate have occurred and that Obama MUST win.  Translation: Obama is behind and falling behinder.  He needs to win big.  He needs a win of the same magnitude as Romney's win in debate #1.

Ain't gonna happen for several reasons.  First, a win of that magnitude has happened exactly once - two weeks ago.  Never before has a presidential debate been so one sided.  The likelihood that it would happen again - in consecutive debates - is nearly impossible.  Second, Romney knows what Obama will bring.  Bain Capital, 47%, 15% tax rate, blah, blah, blah.  Heard it all before.  They are all straw men.  Romney will be well prepared to address each.

On the other hand, Romney will have plenty of ammunition.  Obama countered nothing Romney threw at him 2 weeks ago, and will hear it all again.  Plus Romney can recount the troubling amateurism of the Obama administration's foreign policy response in Cairo and Benghazi.  

I see debate #2 ending as a draw or another Romney win.  Either way, Obama is finished.


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